Fuel and Freight Daily Update - 10/30/25

Liquidity Energy, LLC

11/04/2025

Futures Market Settles (Front Month)

All prices reflect end-of-day settlements from October 29th, 2025

Instrument

Settlement

Change

WTI Future (Dec)

$60.48

▲ 0.33

Brent Final Day (Dec)

$64.92

▲ 0.52

RBOB (Nov)

$1.9737

▲ 0.0485

ULSD (Nov)

$2.4243

▲ 0.0371

Ethanol CU (Oct)

$1.8325

▼ 0.0250

Spread

Value

Change

HO/Brent (Dec)

$35.76

▲ 0.90

RB/Brent (Dec)

$14.49

▲ 0.63

HO/WTI Crack (Dec)

$40.20

▲ 1.09

ULSD & Jet Physical Market Settles

Colonial Pipeline Differentials (USGC):

  • ULSD 62g (C62): -7.55

  • Jet Fuel 54g (C63): -15.25

OPIS RIN Futures

Type

Price

Change

D6 (Ethanol)

$1.0035

▼ 0.0065

D4 (Biodiesel)

$1.0150

▼ 0.0050

D5 (Advanced)

$1.0000

▼ 0.0100

D3 (Cellulosic)

$2.3350

▼ 0.0150

Freight Market Summary

  • Clean Tankers – The U.S. Gulf clean‑product tanker market remains under considerable pressure. Prompt tonnage is still deep, and owner discounts continue as cargo demand struggles to keep pace. Export flows to Latin America and the U.S. East Coast persist, but are insufficient to meaningfully reduce the surplus. Sentiment remains weak heading into November.

  • Crude Tankers – Long‑haul crude trade routes are continuing to benefit from structural tailwinds. Many VLCCs remain routed via the Cape of Good Hope or detours around high‑risk zones, tying up global capacity and supporting the freight floor. While fixture volumes remain moderate, the underlying structural support persists.

  • LNG Shipping – The Atlantic Basin LNG freight market remains tight. Spot vessel availability remains limited, enjoying support from longer voyages due to risk‑averse routing and seasonal constraints. Charterers remain active with forward cover, and the market appears resilient.

  • Overall Outlook – The bifurcation in freight markets remains clear: Crude and LNG freight markets are structurally supported by longer voyages, rerouting, and constrained supply, while clean product tanker markets continue to face headwinds from oversupply and weak demand. Without a significant uptick in cargo programs or export volumes, clean tanker rates may remain under pressure into early November.

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Disclaimer

This article and its contents are provided by Liquidity Energy, LLC ("The Firm") for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any commodity, futures contract, option contract, or other transaction. Although any statements of fact have been obtained from and are based on sources that the Firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed.

Commodity trading involves risks, and you should fully understand those risks prior to trading. Liquidity Energy LLC and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of any information contained herein. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall be construed as an offer to buy or sell any futures or options on futures contracts. Information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to its accuracy. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice, are that of the individual, and not necessarily the opinion of Liquidity Energy LLC