Fuel and Freight Daily Update - 12/3/25

Liquidity Energy, LLC

12/20/2025

Futures Market Settles (Front Month)

All prices reflect end-of-day settlements from December 2nd, 2025

Instrument

Settlement

Change

WTI Future (Jan)

$58.64

▼ 0.68

Brent Final Day (Feb)

$62.45

▼ 0.72

RBOB (Jan)

$1.8303

▼ 0.0386

ULSD (Jan)

$2.3127

▼ 0.0273

Ethanol CU (Dec)

$1.7100

(FLAT)

Spread

Value

Change

HO/Brent (Feb)

$32.76

▼ 0.03

RB/Brent (Feb)

$14.38

▼ 0.81

HO/WTI Crack (Feb)

$38.49

▼ 0.47

ULSD & Jet Physical Market Settles

Colonial Pipeline Differentials (USGC):

  • ULSD 62g (C68): -16.15

  • Jet Fuel 54g (C70): -26.75

OPIS RIN Futures - Dec26

Type

Price

Change

D6 (Ethanol)

$1.1270

▲ 0.0195

D4 (Biodiesel)

$1.1800

▲ 0.0180

D5 (Advanced)

$1.1675

▲ 0.0180

D3 (Cellulosic)

$2.4515

▼ 0.0470

Freight Market Summary

  • Clean Tankers
    The clean‑product tanker market remains under pressure. In key export hubs including the U.S. Gulf, prompt tonnage continues to outnumber available cargo stems. Export flows remain modest and insufficient to materially clear the oversupply. Consequently, many owners are offering discounted rates just to secure business, and market sentiment stays soft as year‑end approaches.

    Crude Tankers
    Crude freight remains relatively stable this week. A portion of global crude tonnage remains committed to long‑haul voyages or rerouted routes, which continues to tighten available capacity. While demand has not surged, this structural tonnage constraint is helping support a floor for long‑haul crude freight rates. Near‑term upside is limited unless cargo demand increases.

    LNG Shipping
    LNG freight continues to show strength. Spot rates in the Atlantic Basin remain elevated, supported by tight vessel availability and increased demand for forward loading as winter demand rises. Extended voyage durations and prioritization of winter cargoes are keeping charterers active, and owners retain leverage in negotiations. The tightness in the LNG vessel market remains evident.

    Dry Bulk / General Shipping
    General freight and dry-bulk segments remain mixed. While demand for some bulk commodities is stable, container and standard general‑cargo routes continue to face headwinds from uneven global demand and excess capacity. Overall, freight rates in non‑tanker sectors remain modest and volatile.

    📈 Overall Outlook
    We continue to see a clear bifurcation in the freight market: crude and LNG shipping remain underpinned by structural supply constraints and seasonal demand, while clean‑product tanker freight markets struggle with oversupply and lackluster cargo flows. Unless there’s a meaningful pickup in trade volumes or a reduction in available tonnage, pressure on clean tanker rates is likely to continue into early December.

Disclaimer

This article and its contents are provided by Liquidity Energy, LLC ("The Firm") for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any commodity, futures contract, option contract, or other transaction. Although any statements of fact have been obtained from and are based on sources that the Firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed.

Commodity trading involves risks, and you should fully understand those risks prior to trading. Liquidity Energy LLC and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of any information contained herein. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall be construed as an offer to buy or sell any futures or options on futures contracts. Information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to its accuracy. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice, are that of the individual, and not necessarily the opinion of Liquidity Energy LLC