Fuel and Freight Daily Update - 6/17/25

Liquidity Energy, LLC

08/01/2025

All pricing reflects end-of-day settlements from June 16, 2025
Published by Liquidity Energy LLC

Futures Market Settles

Front Month Settlements:
WTI (Jul): $71.77 ▼ $1.21
Brent (Aug): $73.23 ▼ $1.00
RBOB (Jul): $2.2199 ▼ 0.77¢
ULSD (HO Jul): $2.3933 ▲ 3.46¢

Key Spreads & Cracks

Key Spreads & Cracks

HO/Brent (Aug): $26.46 ▲ $2.39
RB/Brent (Aug): $19.43 ▲ $0.69
HO/WTI Crack (Jul): $28.75 ▲ $2.66
HOGO (July Futures): +15.70¢ ▲ 1.55¢

HOGO Swaps

HOGO Swaps

July '25: +16.10¢ ▲ 1.85¢
August '25: +17.35¢ ▲ 2.00¢
Q3 '25: +17.00¢ ▲ 1.80¢
Q4 '25: +18.55¢ ▲ 1.50¢

ULSD & Jet Physical Market Settles (LT & ME Contracts)

ULSD & Jet Physical Market Settles (LT & ME Contracts)

Colonial Pipeline Differentials:
ULSD 62g (C30): -7.40¢
Jet Fuel 54g (C31): -18.50¢

LT (ULSD) CME Blocks:
BALMO: -7.50¢
Q3 ’25 Avg: -7.26¢
Q4 ’25 Avg: -10.15¢

ME (Jet) CME Blocks:
BALMO: -22.00¢
Q3 ’25 Avg: -18.42¢
Q4 ’25 Avg: -22.05¢

RIN Futures

RIN Futures – December 2025 Settlements

D6 (Ethanol): $1.2100 ▲ $0.1200
D4 (Biodiesel): $1.3000 ▲ $0.1350
D5 (Advanced): $1.1000 ▲ $0.0600
D3 (Cellulosic): $2.4000 ▲ $0.1700

Freight Market Summary

Freight Market Summary

Clean Tankers:
Tonnage remains long out of the USGC with limited new Latin demand. A handful of prompt barrels helped clear some overhang.

Crude Tankers:
Freight held steady as crude retreated slightly. July charter programs are progressing but remain light for long-haul fixtures.

Pipeline & Terminals:
Colonial line space stays allocated through July. Differentials remain wide on product strength but no major disruptions.

LNG Shipping:
Atlantic Basin rates continue climbing. July slots nearly fully booked, with fresh demand from Europe adding pressure.

Geopolitical Context

Ongoing tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East continue to cast uncertainty over energy logistics. While no immediate disruptions have been reported across key shipping lanes or pipeline corridors, market participants remain cautious. Traders are monitoring the situation closely, particularly regarding potential impacts on maritime security in the Mediterranean and tanker traffic through the Suez and surrounding regions.

Market Signals to Watch

  • Diesel margins stay robust; distillate cracks widening further

  • RINs posted strong gains — momentum building on supply concerns

  • Freight market stable but could tighten on further flat price gains

  • Brent-WTI spread contraction supporting US exports

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Disclaimer

The Coolidge Report is published by Coolidge Shop LLC and is intended for informational purposes only. This report does not constitute trading recommendations, financial advice, or an offer to buy or sell any commodity. While efforts are made to ensure accuracy, Coolidge Shop LLC makes no warranties regarding completeness or reliability. Coolidge Shop LLC is not registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) with the CFTC, and this report should not be interpreted as a solicitation to engage in futures or derivatives trading.

This article and its contents are provided by Liquidity Energy, LLC ("The Firm") for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any commodity, futures contract, option contract, or other transaction. Although any statements of fact have been obtained from and are based on sources that the Firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed.

Commodity trading involves risks, and you should fully understand those risks prior to trading. Liquidity Energy LLC and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of any information contained herein. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall be construed as an offer to buy or sell any futures or options on futures contracts. Information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to its accuracy. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice, are that of the individual, and not necessarily the opinion of Liquidity Energy LLC